Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 2.068271 2.364885 2.690289 3.073979 3.514330 4.004266 4.591235
2025-07-27 1.643692 2.051494 2.540425 3.170824 3.963715 4.930093 6.200728
2025-08-03 1.375431 1.822067 2.390962 3.170773 4.215386 5.571345 7.473252
2025-08-10 1.181314 1.642547 2.259688 3.149026 4.403508 6.118448 8.655723
2025-08-17 1.024256 1.484657 2.127343 3.094359 4.520763 6.560362 9.721509
2025-08-24 0.930565 1.400260 2.081408 3.147038 4.783789 7.221538 11.162964
2025-08-31 0.852922 1.327862 2.040964 3.197022 5.039638 7.888557 12.677477
2025-09-07 0.770852 1.238007 1.962068 3.174851 5.174762 8.375169 13.951590
2025-09-14 0.692988 1.145450 1.867683 3.114625 5.236941 8.743893 15.062783
2025-09-21 0.631129 1.071869 1.795183 3.080262 5.333943 9.172898 16.313891
2025-09-28 0.575230 1.002198 1.721478 3.034420 5.403093 9.555821 17.517726
2025-10-05 0.563794 1.007613 1.775061 3.214336 5.885635 10.706246 20.234127
2025-10-12 0.519057 0.953838 1.727436 3.221892 6.083328 11.413754 22.308404
2025-10-19 0.490780 0.927849 1.728531 3.322945 6.474777 12.540898 25.374461
2025-10-26 0.452558 0.878515 1.680340 3.322917 6.668390 13.307142 27.814905
2025-11-02 0.416058 0.828220 1.624407 3.300093 6.811722 13.987024 30.162198
2025-11-09 0.379884 0.774479 1.555699 3.242721 6.875558 14.508806 32.235751
2025-11-16 0.359203 0.749849 1.542340 3.298006 7.182375 15.574592 35.651751
2025-11-23 0.340110 0.726379 1.528653 3.350465 7.488207 16.672535 39.288238
2025-11-30 0.315983 0.689559 1.482929 3.327196 7.621362 17.400548 42.151827
2025-12-07 0.290865 0.647939 1.422553 3.263989 7.654864 17.903323 44.536241
2025-12-14 0.270282 0.614314 1.376312 3.227927 7.747376 18.553895 47.376068
2025-12-21 0.250695 0.580966 1.327319 3.179818 7.804878 19.126177 50.093226